The Brownlow Medal Predictor is back for AFL Season 2022.
All the projected votes, vote chances, key statistics, star ratings and leaderboards will be released gradually towards the latter stages of the 2022 AFL Season.
The DailySportsBuddy Brownlow Medal Predictor uses a model that focuses on analysing matches and key statistics that have been consistent from past winners and top performers in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
Statistics are not everything, but the award is generally a midfielder’s award, with midfielders making up most of the top ten in previous Brownlow Medal Counts.
It is impossible to predict the entire season’s votes in order, but with a bit of research, most players who are a chance of polling in any given match can be identified.
A Star ⭐ Rating is used to show the confidence level of each three-vote prediction.
⭐ = Tough Game to Pick
⭐⭐ = A Decent Chance
⭐⭐⭐ = Should get the Three Votes
Here is the Brownlow Medal Predictor for Round 13 of the 2022 AFL Season.
Good luck picking a winner for any category this season, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.
Richmond vs Port Adelaide
Richmond 11.11 77 – Port Adelaide 10.5 65
(Richmond by 12 Points)
Vote Chances
Dion Prestia – 25 Disposals (19 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 489 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Jack Graham – 17 Disposals, 4 Inside 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 10 Tackles, 38 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Karl Amon – 29 Disposals (19 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Clearances, 5 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 555 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Richmond) Nick Vlastuin (2)
20 Disposals (15 Effective), 10 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 8 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets and 374 Metres Gained
2 Votes (Port Adelaide) Travis Boak (7)
25 Disposals (19 Effective and 12 Contested), 6 Marks, 9 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 4 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts and 2 Goal Assists
3 Votes (Richmond) Liam Baker (5) ⭐
26 Disposals (10 Contested), 5 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 6 One Percenters, 531 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Note – The Tigers hosted the Power on a Thursday Night at the MCG, and they led from start to finish, but the Power put up a fight in a low-scoring contest.
Liam Baker lifted when the match was up for grabs and had a massive 13 disposals and 5 inside 50s in the final term to help the Tigers secure the win.
Nick Vlastuin was solid down back for the Tigers, whilst Dion Prestia had a decent game in the middle, and Jack Graham did his usual thing and applied a heap of pressure on the Power mids.
Travis Boak stood up for the Power in the loss, and Karl Amon was busy throughout the contest, but the fourth quarter of Liam Baker may be enough for the maximum votes.
Essendon vs Carlton
Essendon 7.12 54 – Carlton 12.8 80
(Carlton by 26 Points)
Vote Chances
Dylan Shiel – 27 Disposals (22 Effective and 15 Contested), 5 Marks, 8 Clearances, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 20 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
Lewis Young – 18 Disposals (18 Effective), 14 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks (5 Intercept Marks), 6 Rebound 50s, 6 Ground Ball Gets, 10 One Percenters and 10 Spoils
Sam Walsh – 29 Disposals (19 Effective), 6 Marks, 4 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 22 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Carlton) Patrick Cripps (18)
28 Disposals (22 Effective and 13 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 4 Marks, 8 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 5 Tackles, 23 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Carlton) Harry McKay (4)
15 Disposals (12 Contested), 8 Marks (4 Contested and 4 Marks Inside 50), 8 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 1 Goal Assist and 3 Goals
3 Votes (Carlton) Sam Docherty (7) ⭐
33 Disposals (29 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks, 7 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 4 Tackles and 699 Metres Gained
Note – Friday Night footy and the Blues were too good for the Bombers and had many contributors in the win.
A tough match to split the votes, but Sam Docherty had a clear impact in the back half for the Blues and helped set up play on numerous occasions.
The contested marking of Harry McKay stood out at times, whilst Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh were busy in the middle, and Lewis Young stepped up on the back half for the Blues.
A tough match to split, but the ball use of Sam Docherty played a significant role in setting up the win for the Blues.
Fremantle vs Hawthorn
Fremantle 14.11 95 – Hawthorn 12.10 82
(Fremantle by 13 Points)
Vote Chances
Hayden Young – 31 Disposals (27 Effective and 11 Contested), 8 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Inside 50s, 6 Rebound 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 585 Metres Gained and 1 Goal Assist
Luke Ryan – 27 Disposals (23 Effective and 10 Contested), 11 Intercept Possessions, 10 Marks(2 Intercept Marks), 8 Rebound 50s, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters and 531 Metres Gained
Brennan Cox – 21 Disposals (17 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 12 Marks (4 Intercept Marks and 2 Contested), 5 Rebound 50s, 8 One Percenters and 6 Spoils
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Hawthorn) Jaeger O’Meara (1)
30 Disposals (23 Effective and 13 Contested), 7 Marks, 9 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 7 Tackles (3 Tackles Inside 50), 28 Pressure Acts, 476 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
2 Votes (Fremantle) Andrew Brayshaw (21)
37 Disposals (31 Effective), 6 Marks, 5 Rebound 50s, 9 Score Involvements, 4 One Percenters, 2 Spoils, 6 Tackles, 32 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Fremantle) Caleb Serong (5) ⭐
33 Disposals (26 Effective and 20 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 4 Tackles, 32 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Note – The Hawks fought against Fremantle and led at the half, but the Dockers came back in the second half to pinch the match.
Caleb Serong and Andrew Brayshaw led the way for the Dockers and had good matches in the middle of the ground, whilst Jaeger O’Meara was the best for the Hawks and is a decent chance for votes in this match.
A tough match to split the votes with the Dockers defenders busy down back and the Hawks putting up a fight. However, Serong and Brayshaw had big second halves and helped the Dockers pull away to be genuine chances for the top votes.
Brisbane vs St Kilda
Brisbane 10.18 78 – St Kilda 8.9 57
(Brisbane by 21 Points)
Vote Chances
Keidean Coleman – 19 Disposals (18 Effective), 7 Intercept Possessions, 9 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 2 Spoils and 4 Tackles
Jarrod Berry – 25 Disposals (20 Effective), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 6 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles and 17 Pressure Acts
Brad Crouch – 26 Disposals (18 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 10 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 27 Pressure Acts, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Brisbane) Jarryd Lyons (7)
29 Disposals (17 Effective), 8 Marks, 5 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 10 Score Involvements, 5 Tackles (2 Tackles Inside 50), 34 Pressure Acts, 528 Metres Gained and 2 Goal Assists
2 Votes (Brisbane) Lachie Neale (23)
37 Disposals (24 Effective and 16 Contested), 6 Marks, 7 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 13 Ground Ball Gets, 459 Metres Gained, 22 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
3 Votes (Brisbane) Hugh McCluggage (7) ⭐⭐
33 Disposals (23 Effective and 11 Contested), 5 Marks, 7 Clearances, 7 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 574 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Note – The Lions were behind at the half against the Saints, but their midfielders stood up in the second half, and they got the win.
Hugh McCluggage was one of the standouts in the middle of the ground, whilst Lachie Neale and Jarryd Lyons had more of an impact as the match continued.
McCluggage gets the nod as he played a consistent four quarters of footy and snagged a late goal, but it wouldn’t be surprising if Lachie Neale gets the top votes as he is a proven vote-getter and had a solid match.
North Melbourne vs GWS
North Melbourne 7.11 53 – GWS 15.12 102
(GWS by 49 Points)
Vote Chances
Callan Ward – 30 Disposals (27 Effective and 11 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 5 Clearances, 9 Score Involvements and 11 Ground Ball Gets
Tanner Bruhn – 24 Disposals (21 Effective), 7 Marks, 4 Clearances, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 23 Pressure Acts and 2 Goals
Tom Green – 30 Disposals (23 Effective), 4 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 19 Pressure Acts and 1 Goal Assist
Projected Votes
1 Vote (North Melbourne) Luke Davies-Uniacke (1)
33 Disposals (29 Effective and 16 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 6 Clearances, 6 Inside 50s, 8 Score Involvements, 7 Ground Ball Gets, 23 Pressure Acts, 574 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
2 Votes (GWS) Stephen Coniglio (7)
34 Disposals (27 Effective and 14 Contested), 4 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks, 5 Clearances, 4 Inside 50s, 11 Score Involvements, 11 Ground Ball Gets, 2 Goal Assists and 3 Goals
3 Votes (GWS) Harrison Himmelberg (3) ⭐⭐
37 Disposals (35 Effective), 11 Intercept Possessions, 16 Marks (6 Intercept Marks), 10 Rebound 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 4 Ground Ball Gets, 697 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Note – The Giants had no issues taking care of the Kangaroos, and a change of roles has a Giants big man a genuine chance at the top votes as a defender.
Harrison Himmelberg racked up a stack of the football in the win and hit targets on the back half for most of the contest.
Stephen Coniglio had a solid game in the middle for the Giants with a heap of the football, and he snagged 3 goals, whilst the Giants had several others that are a slim chance at polling in this match.
Luke Davies-Uniacke was the Kangaroo’s best, but it will likely be a battle between two for the top votes in the sizeable Giant’s victory.
Collingwood vs Melbourne
Collingwood 12.10 82 – Melbourne 8.8 56
(Collingwood by 26 Points)
Vote Chances
Nick Daicos – 33 Disposals (26 Effective and 10 Contested), 9 Intercept Possessions, 6 Marks (2 Intercept Marks), 5 Rebound 50s, 9 Ground Ball Gets, 18 Pressure Acts and 436 Metres Gained
Jack Crisp – 29 Disposals (24 Effective and 10 Contested), 8 Intercept Possessions, 6 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 8 Ground Ball Gets, 6 Tackles, 28 Pressure Acts, 431 Metres Gained, 2 Goal Assists and 1 Goal
Jack Viney – 33 Disposals (21 Effective and 13 Contested), 6 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 5 Inside 50s, 5 Score Involvements, 10 Ground Ball Gets, 3 One Percenters, 12 Tackles, 32 Pressure Acts, 435 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Projected Votes
1 Vote (Collingwood) Brody Mihocek (1)
16 Disposals (13 Effective), 10 Marks (6 Marks Inside 50 and 5 Contested), 4 Inside 50s, 7 Score Involvements, 302 Metres Gained and 4 Goals
2 Votes (Collingwood) Mason Cox (2)
21 Disposals (10 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 8 Marks (3 Contested, 3 Intercept Marks and 2 Marks Inside 50), 4 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 5 Ground Ball Gets, 5 One Percenters, 3 Spoils, 407 Metres Gained, 1 Goal Assist and 1 Goal
3 Votes (Melbourne) Clayton Oliver (21) ⭐⭐
43 Disposals (35 Effective and 16 Contested), 5 Intercept Possessions, 7 Marks, 6 Clearances, 8 Inside 50s, 6 Score Involvements, 12 Ground Ball Gets, 32 Pressure Acts, 614 Metres Gained and 1 Goal
Note – The Queens Birthday clash and the Magpies came from behind and got the win at the MCG on the back of a big second half.
Clayton Oliver won the Neale Daniher Trophy for best on ground and had a big match, despite the loss.
The Pies lifted late in the match, and Mason Cox had a significant impact when the game was up for grabs with a lot of contested football and marking ability.
Brody Mihocek was dangerous up forward for the Pies and booted 4 goals, but the Pies had many contributors in the win, and the minor votes could go a few ways.
Clayton Oliver won the medal, though, and will more than likely be the favourite for the top votes, but the impact of Mason Cox helped get the upset win for the Pies.
Leaderboard – Round 13
Top 10
| Name | Projected Votes |
|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | 23 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | 21 |
| Clayton Oliver | 21 |
| Patrick Cripps | 18 |
| Christian Petracca | 15 |
| Darcy Parish | 13 |
| Jeremy Cameron | 12 |
| Touk Miller | 12 |
| Callum Mills | 12 |
| Sam Walsh | 11 |
| Jack Crisp | 11 |
To see all the votes for previous rounds, click the link Brownlow Medal Predictor 2022 on the menu bar. You can also use the TAGS at the bottom of this post or click the links below.
Best of luck picking a winner, and always remember to Gamble Responsibly.